Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Separated by a Continent and 50 Years

A Headless Body Production

Venue:   On Military Matters Bookstore.  Owner Operator Dennis Shorthouse
Event:    Prep for Barrage 2019


Players: Phil Gardocki running Nikephorian
                  Dennis Shorthouse running Jurchen-Chin
Game System: L'Art de la Guerre, 200 points per side.
Theme: Prep for Barrage 2019 


The Forces:
Nikephorian Byzantine
Nikephoros, the Brilliant, Pumaphoros, the Brilliant and Adidasphoros, the ordinary.
      2 Cataphracts, elite
      2 Heavy cavalry impact, bow
      4 Petchnegs, Light Cavalry, Bow
      2 Varangians, Heavy swordsmen 2HW, Armor, Elite
      6 Skutatoi, ½ Heavy spearmen ½ Bowmen
      6 Light Infantry, Bows and Javelins
Breakpoint of 23

Jurchen-Chin, 2 Brilliants and one unreliable ordinary. 
The Jurchen-Chin later become the Manchu dynasty.  Their language is not readable by the author, and practiced battlefield obfuscation, you will have to pick apart the list from the chroniclers images.  

But the list has 4-12 medium and heavy cavalry impact bow, and 4-12 heavy cavalry, 1/2 bow and 1/2 impact. 
Break point 19

Dennis has a wonderful bookstore in Hopewell New Jersey, that he has been running for many decades.  Imagine going through a library that is nothing but military history.  If you don't think you knew him, he is a long time supporter of Historical Miniatures Gaming Society, and held the coveted #1 spot in the dealers area for over 20 years.  So if you have been to any of HMGS's events at the Lancaster Host, you probably have met Dennis at some time.


The Byzantines win the initiative and elect to attack in the plains.  The Jurchen-Chen select a fielded hill, a plantation and two fields.  The Byzantines a coastal area and a road. 


The Board:


A chance meeting along the Euphrates/Mudan river
The Jurchen right flank is what is expected.  The browner bases are elite forces.
While their left is more of the same.
And their third command, cannot be seen.
Further commentary, though not really relevant to the game, can be found here.

I am trying something new here.  A cavalry command, bolstered by Skutatoi
The center command, Varangians Kataphracts, and Skutatoi.

The Byzantine right is being held by Adidasphoros and 3 Skutatoi
Turn 1:
In the second mistake of the game, Pumaphoros surges forward.
Nikephoros advances, somewhat haltingly.
His snail like pace matched by Adidasphoros
Why was this a mistake?  See below.

Bottom of the 1st, and the Byzantines are already 4 points behind. 
This isn't just after hindsight 20/20 vision.  But every one of the enemy is on a horse and has a bow, and half are elite.  My lights are not screening anything, I just gave the Jurchen-Chin an opportunity to focus firepower, with predictable results.


The rest of the Manchu cavalry march in perfect lockstep.
From just behind the hill, an army begins to form.  It is the third command, all medium swordsmen, 1/2 bow, on a rough hill.
The Jurchen-Chin have 2 points towards their demoralization level of 19
The Byzantines have 6 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Turn 2:
The Petchnegs were known for both their audacity, and their timidity.  They tell Pumaphoros that he can shove off.
Nikephoros's main line steadily advances.

The Byzantines advance their ambush, but at a cost of not pulling back their Psiloi.
More focusing firepower.  3 Jurchen cavalry on the Skutatoi.  The sturdy foot holds, Time for the counter punch..

Arrows rain down the Byzantine line.  Luckily, not as bad as last turn.
Not retiring the Psiloi has consequences.  2 of them fall.
The Jurchen-Chin have 3 points towards their demoralization level of 19
The Byzantines have 11 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Turn 3:

The Tagmata charges, the Jurchen's feign flight. 
The Byzantines have turned the flank of the Jurchen 2nd command.  Now can they exploit that advantage.
Adidasphoros has no intention to go up the hill, and in theory, he can out shoot the Jurchen up there.  So far though, this is not working out.
The Skutatoi are surrounded.  And again, the Jurchen focus firepower on a separate unit of Byzantine foot.

And again.  A unit of Varangians is just run over.
The Jurchen 1/2 sword bow are not content to shoot it out on the hill and charge off of it.

The Jurchen-Chin have 5 points towards their demoralization level of 19
The Byzantines have 17 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Turn 4:
The tide begins to ebb, as the Byzantines begin to fully engage. 
But then falters.  Despite being elite and heavily armored, a kataphract is destroyed.

On the right, the Petchnegs catch and destroy a Manchu light horse. 
The Jurchen-Chin have 10 points towards their demoralization level of 19
The Byzantines have 18 points towards their demoralization level of 23

A Skutatoi falls, but so does a Jurchen heavy cavalry,  The remainder break off.
The second kataphract is destroyed.

Along with another Skutatoi and the last Varangian.  Giving the Jurchen-Chin the win 24 to 11.
What went wrong?  Just about everything.  Not properly assessing my opponents capabilities.  "Phoning in" an attack plan that was just destined to send troops piecemeal into combat against a much more mobile enemy.  Splitting my forces against a more mobile and cohesive enemy.  Even when the reality check hit on turn 1, I should have just hunkered down and solidified the line instead of trying to keep the initiative for little or no advantage. 





















Tuesday, September 17, 2019

The Byzantine's New Shoes

 A Headless Body Production

Location:  A pleasant back yard refuge
Event:       Practice for Barrage
Scenario:  Byzantines vs Catalan Company
Players:    John Doe running the Catalan Company
                  Phil Gardocki running the Nikephorian Byzantines

Game System: L'Art de la Guerre, about 200 points per side.

The Forces:
Nikephorian Byzantine
Nikephoros, the Brilliant, Pumaphoros, the Brilliant and Adidasphoros, the ordinary.
      2 Cataphracts, elite
      2 Heavy cavalry impact, elite
      2 Light Cavalry, Bow, elite     
      2 Light Cavalry, Bow      
      2 Varangian Guards, Heavy swordsmen armour 2HW, elite
      6 Skutatoi, ½ Heavy spearmen ½ Bowmen
      6 Light Infantry, Bows and Javelins
Breakpoint of 23

Catalan Company
The unnamed generals were Brilliant and 2 competents.
We'll call them Wingtips, Oxford, and Pumps.  (we'll let the grammar joke just sit there)
      2 units of crossbowmen
      2 Men at Arms Heavy Knight, Impact, Elite
      2 Aragonese horsemen Heavy Cavalry Impact
      1 Scout, Light Infantry, Javelin
      6 Almughavars, Medium Swordsmen, Impact, Elite
      4 Albanian Light Horse Light Cavalry Javelin, Elite
      4 Medium Cavalry Impact
Breakpoint of 21

Off in the distance, a lawn dragon peacefully enjoys the setting sun.

The Board 
The Byzantines win the initiative and elect to attack in the plains.  The Byzantines select a field, a road, and a gully.  The Arabs select, but are denied, a town, then selected two fields and two plantations.  The Byzantines a road and a gully.

The Catalan deploys 4 light and 4 medium cavalry on their right.  Along with a suspicious rustling in the weeds.
Their center is a mix of crossbowmen, cavalry and knights.  Their left, the dreaded Almughavars.
Facing the cavalry wing is Nikephoros with 6 light horse and 2 elite heavies.
Fresh from his 26.2 run, Pumaphoros forms up with his cataphracts in the center, flanked by Skutatoi, then Varangian Guards.
Adidasphoros, a bit winded after his 13.1, has four Skutatoi's and 2 Psiloi.
Turn 1:
The light begins to dim as the sun sets, leading to blurry pictures.
Nikephoros orders touches lit!
Pumaphoros is having command control problems, which is to be expected then you need 3 command points to advance.
Event the exhausted Adidasphoros, the ordinary, manages to outpace the Byzantine center.

The Catalan company maneuvers their medium horse behind their lights.
A moderate advance for the Catalan center.
So to, the Catalan left.
Turn 2:

Nikephoros reforms his lines at bow range.

Another slow advance by Pumaphoros.  The lines are 4 UD apart.
Adidasphoros also forms up at 4 UD, and looses arrows.
The Catalan cavalry charges!  The heavier Tagmata earn their pay.
In the center, a Byzantine Psiloi is trapped and killed.  Before tilting into the Varangian guards.
Almughavars advance under a storm of arrows, and begin to pick up some hits.
Charging from their point of honor, the Varangians engage the lead cavalry elements.  The expected clash of weapons on steel and the screaming of the dead turns into an impromptu meeting of the local mercenary captains, possibly discussing the cost of surrender.

Those of you paying attention to the numbers probably realized that the 2-1 die roll meant the elite Varangians won the fight by 1.  We didn't catch this until the following turn, too late to roll back the clock.

Turn 3:
Pumaphoros pulls a hat trick of medium cavalry.



Negotiations competed, the Aragonese  opt to fight it out.  The Varangians say "Fine"
One brave Psiloi flanks the Almughavars.
Was that lightning?  Or did I finally get the flash to work?  The Albanians are ordered to charge down the line, right up until bullet point 1.1 under Contact Restrictions (page 52) is pointed out. 

The Aragonese charge expecting the Petchnegs to evade, and then they would take the Tagmata in the flank.  Uncharacteristically, the Petchnegs stand. Catalan heavy knights charge the Byzantine cataphracts and win both charges.

The Almughavars charge out of the fields into the waiting spears of the Skutatoi.  Who show their usual elan by losing 3 out of 4.

The Catalan Company have 12 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 13 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Turn 4:

Byzantine Tagmata surge forward, running down one light horse, and disordering another.

The Catalan Company have 15 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 13 points towards their demoralization level of 23


A cataphract is run down by iron shod hooves. 
The Catalan Company have 16 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 13 points towards their demoralization level of 23


Almughavars destroy a Skutatoi.
The Catalan Company have 10 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 15 points towards their demoralization level of 23



Catalan light horse breaks off of their Tagmata opponents, leaving the crossbowmen to do the work. 
The Catalan Company have 16 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 17 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Pumaphoros has had a crisis of command points these last two rounds, denying him several opportunities to encircle the knights.

The Almughavars and another to the score.
The Catalan Company have 16 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 20 points towards their demoralization level of 23


Catalan persistence allows them to pick up two more points on the far left.
The Catalan Company have 16 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 22 points towards their demoralization level of 23

Pumaphoros gets a surplus of command points, and produces a near knight experience.
The Catalan Company have 18 points towards their demoralization level of 21
The Byzantines have 22 points towards their demoralization level of 23

To little, to late, as the last Skutatoi falls for 23 points, a win for the Catalan Company.

With that, it was a win for the Catalan Company, 23-18.

A clear case of persistence through adversity can overcome early defeats for an eventual win.

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Last week I mentioned I built a L’ Art de la Guerre combat simulator. 
Basically, it is a data driven macro that runs on Excel™.  It will iterate through two units fighting for 1000 battles, and present how many times one side will destroy their opponent, and how many bounds this will take.
After wearing out several pairs of virtual dice,  have been trying to coalesce the results.

All these numbers are assuming this is two identical units fighting.  Also, for ease of explanation, there has been rounding to the nearest 5 percent. More complected comparing will have to wait for a later date.  I have seen the numbers, but how do I write it up in a manner that is entertaining and easy to comprehend? 

Situational:
Having 2 Supports
                97/3, which means the side with 2 supports will eventually destroy his opponent 97% of time.
Having 1 Support
      80/20
Disordered before contact
    75/25 (80/20 for 3 cohesion point units)

By Cost:
Elite, (sliding cost, 1-3 points)
                70/30  (Mediocre is 30/70)
Armor (2 points)
                65/35
Camel vs cavalry (1 point)
                80/20
Impact and furious charge (also 1 point)
                65/35

Impact, but not furious charge (1 point)
                60/40
Heavy Infantry vs Medium Infantry (1 point)
                60/40
2 handed weapon (1 point)
                55/45
Missile support (1 point)
                55/45

These numbers are more extreme then they may first appear. 
80/20 means one side wins 4 out of 5 fights.
Even missile support at 55/45, means the unit with missile support wins 22% of their fights.

The main take away is that tactics matter more than good match-ups.
Elite matters a lot more than you would think.  Making the cost of elite slide from plus 1-3 was a good call by the game designers to balance this out.

Armor and impact have the same advantage, and this makes sense.  Armor can influence every adversarial die roll, but is not always available on the first bound.  While impact, is available only only on the first bound, can causes a disorder where not having impact would be a tie, then the whole rest of the battle is affected accordingly.  However, impact costs 1 point, and armor costs 2.  So in a straight one on one fight, impact is more cost effective, but it is also more situational.  Cavalry loses impact against spear and elephants, while foot looses it against mounted. Armor is only "lost" when facing furious charge and elephants. 

Heavy infantry vs medium infantry.  At first, 60/40 would seem to imply that the cost difference of 1 per element is not quite right, but if we have a theoretical line of 11 heavies vs. 12 mediums, costing 88 and 84 points.  With this theoretical line of 11 vs 12, one of the mediums on the end will have with the support, and should win, (70/30 in favor of the MI), while the remaining 10 heavies would kill 6 and lose 4.  For a total of 6 to 5, a practically even result. This does not count early penetrations down the line and subsequent flank charges.  The mediums should get one early on with the hanging flank, but the heavies are likely to get a couple in the center of the line. 

2 handed weapon was a disappointment, since it is my favorite. (see Galloglaich, early Swiss) But it’s placement near the bottom makes sense.  Like armor, it can influence every adversarial die roll, but unlike armor, it only has a real advantage 50% of the times it is used.  Note that this is for like on like battles.  Having 2HW against specifically vulnerable opponents, like spearmen, where 2HW wins ties, and the numbers go up to 66/33, a huge advantage.  The other effect of 2HW, is that it effectively mitigates armor, a two point cost, and which is especially nice if your opponent paid for heavy armor.  But in a fair fight, when compared to impact, the 1-point cost for this ability is not a good deal.

And there should be no surprise on the minimal effect of missile support, except that perhaps that it is so high!  Also, as compared to impact, the 1-point cost for this ability is not a good deal.

Then we are down to camelry vs cavalry, I think this one is a problem.  The effect is totally out of proportion to the cost.  Camelry are just as good as cavalry in every situation, and camels ignore some terrain types using both brush and sand without suffering movement or combat penalties.  The terrain benefits are enough to rate the one-point cost differential.  And then, they effectively count as supported all the time by throwing a -1 on all adjacent cavalry.  Camelry will destroy equally equipped cavalry 80% of the time.  This situational combat bonus is next to none in value.  And in my opinion, it is too high.  To just match medium camelry, cavalry must be both heavy and elite, two upgrades, costing 4 points. 

How effective were camels when involved in mounted combat?  Historically I can only think of one, Byzantines attacking a wall of unmounted camels.  The Byzantines dismounted and slaughtered the camels on foot.  I don’t know of any others.  But if camels were this effective, then why didn’t the camel become the dominant riding animal instead of the horse?

For now, the only mitigation for camelry is that they only exist in numbers in a few lists, and in lists where they exist in small numbers, they are as much a hazard to friend and foe alike.  I think a resolution would be to either remove the cavalry penalty or raise the cost of the camels.  Raising the cost would have the effect of they will never be seen again so I am thinking along the lines of canceling impact or javelin bonus of cavalry.  Impact because the horses are hesitant to approach the strange beasts, and javelins because their mounts became unsteady.

That’s all from the soap box.  Let the min-maxing begin!